Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.766598 0.879779 1.003154 1.147529 1.311749 1.492639 1.706911
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.637875 0.800144 0.992323 1.236281 1.537304 1.896154 2.356013
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.540334 0.735718 0.985424 1.326865 1.780448 2.361081 3.159492
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.445081 0.654551 0.942028 1.363272 1.962415 2.781283 3.982312
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.379244 0.599177 0.921620 1.425239 2.187850 3.294295 5.015032
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.313471 0.530072 0.868062 1.428602 2.328605 3.709004 5.975540
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.268625 0.483962 0.840036 1.464302 2.522197 4.229597 7.175590
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.222258 0.425554 0.780902 1.437777 2.609420 4.593676 8.181018
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.198151 0.401255 0.774806 1.499577 2.853997 5.250110 9.768710
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.180028 0.384298 0.778381 1.578407 3.139811 6.016298 11.656789
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.157928 0.354907 0.752987 1.597368 3.315872 6.607548 13.308489
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.137787 0.325390 0.721842 1.598906 3.456865 7.150175 14.940989
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120435 0.298821 0.692906 1.601834 3.604932 7.734788 16.755954
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.106325 0.276749 0.669739 1.613262 3.773011 8.384102 18.797698
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.096149 0.261975 0.660311 1.653849 4.011296 9.213227 21.335734
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.084538 0.241102 0.632800 1.647483 4.142260 9.829297 23.498192
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.076933 0.229083 0.624600 1.686271 4.384974 10.726683 26.414352
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.067523 0.210034 0.595103 1.666422 4.482243 11.303601 28.670337
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.061284 0.198659 0.583644 1.691430 4.695872 12.184341 31.768598
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.053317 0.180316 0.549772 1.650105 4.731239 12.636265 33.880938
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.049945 0.175475 0.553109 1.712996 5.054884 13.852684 38.076325
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.047494 0.173077 0.563178 1.797124 5.450283 15.305809 43.072240
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.043331 0.164002 0.551478 1.814870 5.661216 16.301959 46.994694